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    Home»Statecraft»East

    Bihar Poll Survey: Rahul and Tejaswi ahead of Modi, Nitish

    Akhilesh AkhilBy Akhilesh Akhil
    Only the public can properly investigate how correct or wrong the recent survey of Bihar elections is because they are the masters of democracy.
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    New Delhi: Everyone knows that election survey is an illusion and based on lies. There is no professionalism in it. In other words, it is a wonderful game of misleading the public, which has no ground basis. But election surveys happen a lot in this country. The livelihood of many depends on it. In some surveys, a game of putting psychological pressure on the public is played by calling any party and leader better and some worse. In this game, the leaders and party members also remain happy and the public is also seen sometimes happy and sometimes crying on the rising and falling graph of their leader and the party of their choice. Still, the public, knowing everything, reads and watches the election survey and also debates. Only the public can properly investigate how correct or wrong the recent survey of Bihar elections is because they are the masters of democracy. Well, the story is that elections are to be held in Bihar, a state with a socialist background, in the months of October-November. The Election Commission is making efforts to ensure that the elections in the state are better, transparent and fair and the commission is also saying something similar. But who can guarantee how transparent and fair it will be? If fairness and transparency are guaranteed and seen just by saying it, then the amazing story of political leprosy raging in the country would not be seen. Only God knows what will happen in Bihar in future because recently Congress leader Rahul Gandhi has written a letter to the Election Commission with facts and figures in the context of Maharashtra elections and has said that the shadow of Maharashtra is falling on Bihar, which has caused a stir in the politics of the country. The Election Commission is also shocked and the BJP, which proudly formed the government in Maharashtra, is also shocked. Many things have been said in Rahul’s letter which the Bihari society is also understanding and understanding. But one big difference seems to be that perhaps the Election Commission will now be more cautious than before. Will be able to understand his constitutional responsibilities.

    Mood Of The Public May Change

    But this is not the essence of this story. The story was about poll surveys. Who is ahead, who is behind, who is powerful and who is weak, who is being talked about. Who has the upper hand and who is close to forming the government. Who is the public’s choice and the hope of the future and who is the one whom the public is rebuking. This is what election surveys tell and all this is so that the figures tickle, amuse and entertain the public. In the last few months, many poll surveys have come out regarding Bihar elections. One after the other. Some big agencies conducted surveys and presented figures, while many social scientists, who are also called sefologists, presented figures through their articles and tried to make their mark. It is another matter that all the surveyors of the country never apologize even if the survey is useless and false. They only say that whatever was happening at that time was told and shown in the survey. The mood of the public changes at the time of elections and then we can only tell the trend. Whereas the truth is that those who conduct surveys have no trend and neither do they have any accountability. They just work and please the public. They do not consider democracy to be anything more than a dance. They do not consider the electoral game to be anything more than the dance of democracy.

    Rahul Gandhi Has Emerged As An Icon

    The issue is that an opinion survey of Poll Tracker has come out regarding Bihar elections. Many things have been said in this survey. But the surveyors have also found a way to save themselves. The gist of the survey is that in the elections to be held in Bihar, even though many parties are seen attacking each other, the real fight is between NDA and India. However, the Bihari society already knows all this and also knows some future things which the surveyors and so-called journalists do not know. The survey is saying that there is a direct fight between India and NDA, but the bigger game is that there is a storm of Rahul Gandhi and Tejashwi Yadav among the people of Bihar. Popularity is increasing. Especially Rahul Gandhi has emerged as an icon of Bihari youth, while Tejashwi Yadav has left everyone behind in the race for CM. No one can compete with him. Not even Nitish Kumar, famous as Vikas Purush and Sushasan Babu, who has been in power for 20 years. Nitish Kumar, whose style, customs and efforts were admired by all, now looks useless, ruined and a victim of fatigue. He is trying to get up but for how long can age and health remain in whose control? And on top of that, the custom of changing sides that he adopted, may have benefited someone else, may have become a partner in power, but where is Nitish Kumar’s reputation like before?

    Survey Presents An Interesting Picture

    Let us take the survey forward. The term of Bihar Legislative Assembly is to end on 22 November, so it is obvious that the elections have to be held before this date and then the announcement of the election is to be made soon. But the story is of the survey. Some such things have been said in this poll tracker survey that sometimes it seems that what the survey is saying may be correct, but when we look at the election pattern and game, the survey seems nothing more than useless and confusing. Who has not seen the elections of Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Haryana and Maharashtra. The survey was in favor of Congress but the result was against Congress. The elections of Maharashtra and Haryana are no less than an example. Still, Poll Tracker has made some effort. It remains to be seen how many people were surveyed and how big is the sample size of this survey, but the results of the survey are no less than a bolt from the blue for Modi and Nitish. The trend of the survey is presenting an interesting picture. According to the survey, the India alliance has been estimated to get 126 seats with 44.2 percent votes in this election, while the NDA has been estimated to be reduced to 112 seats with 42.8 percent votes. It is clear that if the current situation remains till the elections, then the NDA government will be gone from Bihar and the India government will be formed. But is all this so easy? Will Nitish Kumar be able to see all this? And will PM Modi and BJP be able to see their emerging dream shattering? All this seems impossible. But if democracy is an illusion, then this too will come to the fore.

    Positive Signal For The India Alliance

    In this survey, many things have also come to light about Prashant Kishor’s party Jan Suraj. The survey says that Jan Suraj can get one seat with 2.7 percent votes in this election while others can win eight seats. Others can get 10.3 percent votes. The survey also says that there are still about three months left for the elections, so the equations can change. Obviously, all this is just a way to avoid it. The opinion poll of Poll Tracker has also revealed the public’s choice for the next Chief Minister of Bihar. Tejashwi Yadav has emerged as the first choice of 43% people, while only 31% people want to see the current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar as CM again. 9% people are liking Prashant Kishor of Jan Suraj, which shows that he will have to work harder to make his place in Bihar politics. Along with this, people have also given 17% votes to others, from which it can be said that some people also want a new face. Tejashwi’s growing popularity, especially among the youth, is a strong message for the opposition. The survey also revealed that Rahul Gandhi’s popularity among Bihar’s youth is higher than that of PM Narendra Modi. Rahul Gandhi is liked by 47% of the youth, while Narendra Modi has got the support of 39%. The remaining 14% votes may be in favor of other leaders, such as Tejashwi Yadav or Chirag Paswan. This trend gives a positive signal for the India Alliance. Now the big question is whether what the survey is saying is correct? And if it is true, then a lot is going to change in Bihar. The political career of many leaders seems to be ending. And if this survey is misleading, as it often happens, then Bihar may reach a hung assembly situation this time where any new and small party can come in a position to do wonders by supporting any alliance.

    Bihar politics BJP JDU RJD Narendra Modi rahul gandhi Tejasvi Laloo Yadav
    Akhilesh Akhil

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