Author: Anirudh Gupta

Liquidity is quietly returning to India’s banking system and, with it, a structural cushion for markets that makes significant downside unlikely over the medium term. Estimates of fresh liquidity injections in the range of $50–70 billion, flowing through recapitalisation, policy accommodation and improved deposit dynamics, are underpinning a noticeable surge in bank lending. That surge matters: when credit flows expand, corporate balance sheets deleverage and working capital stress eases, supporting earnings resilience across sectors, including consumption and industrials. A second stabiliser is domestic consumption. India’s consumption cycle has demonstrated remarkable durability. Retail demand indicators and household balance-sheets point to steady…

In uncertain markets, investors often look for certainty in the wrong places. They chase excitement when they need stability, or they seek safety so aggressively that they miss the opportunities quietly compounding in front of them. In the current environment, three signals stand out clearly: arbitrage and low-duration funds are becoming dominant allocations, defence continues to perform well, and the broader market may remain range-bound for some time. Put together, these are not isolated facts. They tell a larger story about how capital is choosing discipline over drama. For many investors, this is a season for patience rather than aggression.…

Ramesh Kumar never thought of himself as poor. At 42, he had a steady private-sector job in Noida, a two-bedroom flat bought on loan, and children studying in a reputed school. Yet every month ended the same way. EMIs consumed nearly half his salary. Medical bills for his wife’s diabetes were rising. School fees went up annually, while his income did not. Savings existed, but only on paper. One job loss or hospitalisation would have pushed the family into debt. This was not poverty. This was financial survival. India today sits on a booming ₹500 lakh crore wealth economy, yet…

In December last year, 29-year-old software engineer Rohan Mehta from Bengaluru faced a sobering reality check. Despite earning ₹1.2 lakh per month, his total savings for the year barely crossed ₹10,000. “I thought I was doing well…dining out, travelling, buying gadgets on EMI. But looking back, I realised I had nothing tangible to show for a year of hard work,” he recalls. Rohan’s predicament mirrors a broader national trend. According to the RBI’s 2024–25 Household Savings Report, gross household savings have plummeted to 5.1% of income, a far cry from the 20% benchmark deemed necessary for financial security. A decade…